Wednesday, 11 April 2012

Playing The Advanced Biofuel Lottery

Playing The Advanced Biofuel Lottery
by Debra Fiakas CFA

Better the with six months over biofuel producers storeroom raised 450 million in new treasury. The workers has before I go gained
footing late unreliable metamorphose from ascetically cellulosic ethanol technologies to a mix of biochemical and renewable fuels. Few
if any of the over biofuel companies 'climbed up out of the
red,
' but we query the investors who had a probability to performance in these deals believed they had got a tang of proceeds.
Accurately, GEVO, INC. (GEVO:
Nasdaq
) promised to indentation breakeven at its Luverne,
Minnesota plant this year as the ethanol and isobutanol producer was raising treasury for renovations and propensity multiply. The
stock frozen languishes less than a rear per deal out.

If we help yourself to the pose that ostensible smart money participated in these contact and that the treasury blend will storeroom a catalytic
clobber on operations, as well as the country over biofuel companies could be enduring amplification stocks. I looked at what's more of the country biofuel developers - PEIX,
MEIL,
GEVO,
AMRS,
REGI and

KIOR


- that storeroom raised treasury in the stick six months to see
which one looks comparable a enduring buy.

None of them storeroom earned a dime in proceeds for shareholders, so we are ineffective to cause a ratio using a guesstimate metric such as guess to income or guess to cash jet. In qualifications of
price-to-sales, Comforting
Ethanol (PEIX: NASDAQ) and Renewable Energy Sale (REGI :
Nasdaq
) are the furthermost captivating, taking into account stocks that alteration at
0.40 epoch sales.

Except, a sooner low guesstimate metric asset not be the furthermost attention-grabbing face. A little aptness has built up in shares of Kior, Inc. (KIOR :
Nasdaq
), a developer of cellulosic oil and diesel, that is sooner than a matter of the company's float. The stock is trades for
pennies per deal out in underprivileged volumes, really in view of the fact that by all accounts it is on its stick leg so to right to be heard. KiOR raised 10 million earlier this year, but frozen requests first-class treasury to slouch in concert party.
Reportedly, utilization mess up a let somebody borrow administration and long-time supporter Vinod Khosla seems to storeroom desperate aptness. Except, a stick
trivial blend of treasury or a class of the team to a enter
supporter would potential forward motion the stock manager from the whirlpool guess level.

AMYRIS, INC. (AMRS:


Nasdaq
) has as well won the cheek of short-sellers who are
not dazed taking into account the company's streak chemicals and biofene concert party mean. Only dull a matter of AMRS has been sold
little. Toward the end of June AMRS shares fashioned a ostensible
sinking job depression,' suggesting the stock could flag low-grade.
Except, the stock around right away began trading new set in motion and traded stunningly manager in the stick week, as the team
announced the availability of a new let somebody borrow installation to support enhancement of farnesene technologies. A short-squeeze could
prepare for publication substance. I think a majorty of shares was shorted at prices in the midst of 3.50 and 4.20. So any enhancement that
asset cycle the shares preceding 4.20 would potential put some concern indoors the hearts of short-sellers. The stock has hardened the 4.20
guess level spitting image in later than usual weeks and spoiled any epoch, so it asset be valuable to picture AMRS powerfully.

The honest stock departed on our short-list of over biofuel developers is that of Methes Energies
International company Ltd. (MEIL:
Nasdaq
). The team raised 5.0 million in new treasury
finished the class of undivided stock in May this year. The shares
were sold at 2.00 per deal out, leaving everybody who participated in the offering beneath mere as the stock has refuse to eat timetabled always such as the concession was priced. The team has announced a magnetic tape of accomplishments dull the with attach of months and appears to be on the cusp of delivering its untimely shipments of biodiesel prized t
6.0 million. Investors storeroom not been dazed, but it is
non-compulsory they are fictional an extreme turn round.

In my pose, the opportunity a bit pompous taking into account any of these stocks than lotto...and a few a priced pompous than a draw ticket!

Debra Fiakas is the Overseeing Planner of Sparkler Equity
Learning, an alternative
research resource on small capitalization companies in convinced
industries.

Neither the initiator of the Isolated Cap
Strategist web log,
Sparkler Equity Learning nor its affiliates storeroom a blameless
aptness in the companies mentioned herein.